Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.141236 0.207983 0.284909 0.377690 0.484465 0.601727 0.738610
2025-11-23 0.048957 0.120802 0.222222 0.361371 0.536805 0.742717 0.995827
2025-11-30 0.019647 0.086767 0.200411 0.370806 0.597460 0.872972 1.220267
2025-12-07 0.004060 0.057422 0.173983 0.366198 0.635152 0.972280 1.406263
2025-12-14 NaN 0.033266 0.144395 0.349037 0.650469 1.039432 1.549739
2025-12-21 NaN 0.027453 0.146415 0.378127 0.727547 1.184158 1.788038
2025-12-28 NaN 0.023000 0.149236 0.407488 0.804514 1.328581 2.026045
2026-01-04 NaN 0.016873 0.144635 0.423048 0.861116 1.446202 2.230532
2026-01-11 NaN 0.015988 0.154225 0.462971 0.952956 1.610181 2.493509
2026-01-18 NaN 0.013595 0.157883 0.492050 1.028901 1.753316 2.730476
2026-01-25 NaN 0.008446 0.148203 0.495721 1.066756 1.845669 2.903141
2026-02-01 NaN 0.002154 0.121215 0.463087 1.048138 1.861232 2.977243
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.092599 0.422737 1.017288 1.862109 3.036371
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.078329 0.409118 1.026753 1.917524 3.165898
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.074468 0.418188 1.072038 2.022057 3.358865
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.065697 0.413540 1.094164 2.093941 3.509073
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.052926 0.395153 1.091943 2.130704 3.612573
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.057887 0.426207 1.173773 2.286956 3.874041
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.062901 0.457456 1.256042 2.443987 4.136755
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.062808 0.473996 1.313212 2.565391 4.352534
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.071616 0.516352 1.414730 2.750160 4.652365
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.076415 0.547142 1.496518 2.906936 4.915341
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.071895 0.551026 1.532287 2.998232 5.091834